![]() That shift, she said, has led to the traditional parties losing ground in favour of the centre-right CAQ and - to a lesser degree - left-leaning Québec solidaire. For nearly 50 years, Quebec politics was defined by two competing visions: sovereignty, helmed by the Parti Québécois, and federalism, championed by the Liberal Party of Quebec.īut as interest in sovereignty has waned, a more traditional right-left political divide has emerged. The outgoing Quebec premier, Mahéo said, has been able to capitalize on a new political landscape that began shifting even before his party was formed in 2011. Opposition parties - most of which had new leaders - struggled for visibility because debate in the legislature on most issues regarding the pandemic was suspended, she added.īut Legault’s rise and continued strength cannot be solely attributed to circumstance, she said. “He was there every day giving news conferences we saw him all the time, and he governed by decree because of the health emergency,” she said in a recent phone interview. ![]() Valérie-Anne Mahéo, an assistant professor of political science at Université Laval, said the election comes after more than two years of a pandemic during which Legault was “omnipresent.” Days ahead of Sunday's campaign launch, poll-aggregator website pegged the probability of Legault’s party winning a majority government at more than 99 per cent. Most polls show Legault with support in the mid-40 per cent range - more than double that of his closest adversary, the Liberals. ![]() 3.Įxperts offer a number of reasons to explain Legault’s runaway lead, including his popularity among francophones, the fragmentation of the opposition and the sustained visibility he obtained during the COVID-19 pandemic. MONTREAL - François Legault’s win in the 2018 provincial election marked the start of a new era in Quebec politics, after nearly 50 years of federalist-versus-separatist two-party rule.įour years later, Legault and his Coalition Avenir Québec are firmly in control, with polls suggesting he'll cruise to a second majority victory on Oct.
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